2 Atlantic systems have 50% chance of development as African wave emerges

Forecasters are monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean that each hold a 50% chance of tropical development.

admin August 24, 2026 2 minutes read

TAMPA, Fla. – Forecasters are monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean that each hold a 50% chance of tropical development.

The first disturbance sits southeast of Bermuda and is expected to track northward over time without impacting the U.S.

Tropics development outlook

What we know:

Meteorologists are tracking two active systems in the Atlantic basin, with both showing a 50% probability of strengthening.

One area of low pressure is located southeast of Bermuda. Forecast projections show this system moving north over time, remaining safely away from the U.S. coast.

Island track projections

What we don’t know:

A strong tropical wave recently moved off the coast of Africa and is currently traveling west toward the Caribbean islands.

Computer models indicate the storm will eventually curve north before reaching the islands, but officials have not yet confirmed the precise timing or intensity of the potential turn.

Ocean monitoring timeline

What’s next:

Because the African wave is just emerging off the coast, forecasters emphasize there is plenty of time to track its movement before it approaches any landmasses. Meteorologists will continue analyzing computer model runs as both systems progress.