National Hurricane Center watching area that could become tropical depression in Gulf

Forecasters are monitoring an area of interest in the tropics that has a 50% chance of forming into a tropical system as it moves toward the Gulf.

admin October 5, 2026 1 minute read

TAMPA, Fla. – Forecasters are monitoring an area of interest in the tropics that has a 50% chance of forming into a tropical system as it moves toward the Gulf.

Weather models track system

What we know:

The National Hurricane Center gives the tropical system a 50% chance of development. Computer forecast models support gradual formation over warm waters.

A low-pressure system is expected to slowly drift into the Gulf by Friday. Models show the system moving toward the northern Gulf Coast later in the weekend.

High wind shear battle

What we don’t know:

Meteorologists are unsure how the system will interact with strong wind shear expected along the northern Gulf Coast. Forecast models disagree on how strong or structured the system will be.