TAMPA, Fla. – A lone tropical disturbance in the middle of the Atlantic holds a low 30% chance of development as El Niño conditions stifle storm formation.
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Quiet Atlantic hurricane season
What we know:
Strong El Niño conditions are generating hostile wind shear and spreading Saharan dust across the Atlantic’s main development region.

An isolated disturbance sits in the central Atlantic with a 30% chance of forming into a tropical system.
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Calm outlook through next week
What we don’t know:
Meteorologists cannot say if tropical activity will remain quiet beyond next Monday. Weather forecasters will continue monitoring the basin closely to ensure no unexpected threats emerge.
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